Senior Applied Economist, Causal Inference & Forecasting

Benefits

Parental leave

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Non-birth-parent leave

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Family-building benefits

• Fertility benefits: Not verified
• Adoption assistance: Not verified
• Surrogacy assistance: Not verified

Mental health support

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Relocation assistance

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Childcare support

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Learning budget

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Verification

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Salary

$122K-$270K not verified - source not recorded; timestamp not recorded

401(k) match

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Market context

U.S. role benchmark (BLS OEWS)

$111,944 U.S. median for this role

Projected growth (BLS Employment Projections)

+13.7% - Much faster than average

75% above the BLS role benchmark for data and ml aggregate.

Matched to SOC 15-1252 - Data and ML aggregate by role bucket.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, OEWS, May 2024 and Employment Projections, 2024-2034.

Schedule

Shift type

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Weekend work

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Application

Cover letter

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Assessment

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Deadline

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Where they hire

State eligibility is not yet verified.

About this role

Senior Applied Economist, Causal Inference & Forecasting Palo Alto, CA or San Francisco, CA Navan is seeking a Senior Applied Economist to join the Data Science & Machine Learning team. This is a foundational, "first-of-its-kind" role at Navan, designed for a technical leader who can bridge the gaps between hands-on machine learning, rigorous economic theory, and driving business outcomes. In this role, you will be the primary architect of our internal economic "brain." You will move beyond point-estimate forecasting to build sophisticated models that account for market nuances, uncertainty, and causal drivers. You will partner closely with Finance, Treasury, and FP&A to steer the company's financial trajectory, while providing the strategic frameworks that Sales and Pricing teams use to maximize customer adoption and revenue. What You'll Do: Next-Generation Forecasting: Uplevel our existing forecasting pipelines (currently built on Prophet). You will integrate econometric rigor to improve accuracy and, crucially, provide a range of likely outcomes (probabilistic forecasting) that Finance and Treasury can rely on for risk management. Causal Inference & Strategy: Design and execute experimental and quasi-experimental frameworks to identify the "levers" of the business. You will answer critical questions regarding price elasticity, product feature attribution, and the ROI of sales incentives. Strategic Blueprinting: Partner with Sales and Account Management to create data-driven frameworks for pricing and customer retention. You will translate complex causal models into actionable blueprints for go-to-market teams. Production-Level Data Science: Work hands-on within our ML infrastructure. You will write production-quality Python code to deploy models into our

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